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☆ Regulatory approval on FSD is critical for Tesla, says RBC's Tom Narayan
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRegulatory approval on FSD is critical for Tesla, says RBC's Tom NarayanTom Narayan, RBC Global Autos Analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk Tesla's share slide and what to expect from tomorrow's earnings.

Persons: Tesla, Tom Narayan Tom Narayan Organizations: RBC Global

☆ March data may give the Fed some comfort to cut rates later this year, says RBC's Andrzej Skiba
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarch data may give the Fed some comfort to cut rates later this year, says RBC's Andrzej SkibaAndrzej Skiba, RBC Global Asset Management head of U.S. fixed income, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the Federal Reserve has the incentive to wait on rate cuts, concerns Skiba has in parts of the markets outside of equities, and much more.

Persons: RBC's Andrzej Skiba Andrzej Skiba, Skiba Organizations: RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve

The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson

☆ There's momentum to get oil to $100 per barrel, beyond that 'we'll have to see': RBC's Helima Croft
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's momentum to get oil to $100 per barrel, beyond that 'we'll have to see': RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Global Head of Commodity Strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk rising oil prices, the impact of $100 oil prices, how global politics play a role and more.

Persons: Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Global, Commodity

☆ Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +13 min

While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.

Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, “, STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO

US inflation, Fed rates and marketsU.S. stocks ended sharply higher on optimism the Fed could be nearing the end of its aggressive rate hiking cycle. The yield on two-year Treasuries , which reflect the outlook on interest rates, rose 0.5 basis point to 3.977% and 3.3 basis points to 3.454% on 10-year notes . "That's why we do not have those dramatic moves in U.S. Treasuries on the back of better-than-expected inflation data." The dollar index fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than two months, while the yen strengthened 0.29% to 132.74 per dollar. The Aussie dollar rose 1.0% on the back of surprise surges in both Chinese exports, which rose 14.8% compared with last March, and domestic Australian jobs.

[1/2] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, March 10, 2023. Futures also showed expectations rose of the Fed cutting rates noticeably in September, and more deeper by December. "The way we've been trading over the last sessions indicates that the market is more positively positioned with regards to their exposure to Treasuries," Skiba said. The dollar index fell 0.48%, at its lowest in two months, while the yen strengthened 0.55% at 132.41 per dollar. The Aussie dollar rose 1.0% on the back of surprise surges in both Chinese exports, which rose 14.8% compared with last March, and domestic Australian jobs.

☆ Historic move in Treasury yields signals high inflation but maybe not a recession anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

An inverted yield curve is considered a forewarning for recession, and the already-inverted yield curve stretched even wider this week to its most inverted level since 1981. The yield curve becomes inverted when short-duration yields rise above longer duration yields, as in the case of the 2-year Treasury yield and the 10-year yield. 10Y2YS 1Y line inversion Recession or a sign of inflation? The current shape of the yield curve tells you more about sticky inflation." Golub said the outcome of the inverted curve's recession warning has been different in periods of high inflation versus low inflation.

☆ Emerging markets are a top investing trend for 2023. Here's the best way to take advantage
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The iShares MSCI emerging market Asia exchange traded fund is up 11% and the iShares core MSCI emerging markets ETF is up more than 10% since the year began. For Kotler, it's emerging market bonds, where his firm has an overweight rating as opposed to a neutral rating on equities. One other factor that should help emerging market countries outperform in 2023 is the winding down of the strength of the U.S. dollar. Some top emerging market bond funds include the iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF , the Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF and the VanEck JP Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF. Of course, the downside to large emerging market funds is that they tend to be most heavily weighted to China, as it's the largest emerging market country.

☆ Toronto stocks slip on oil drag, inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummarySummary Companies Annual inflation remains unchangedRestaurant Brands International rises on CEO changeLoblaw up after Q3 sales beatNov 16 (Reuters) - Canada's commodity-heavy stock index fell on Wednesday as oil prices declined, while investors digested data showing domestic annual inflation rate held steady in October. ET (1537 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was down 51.55 points, or 0.26%, at 19,943.23, after closing higher in the previous session. Canada's annual inflation rate held steady at 6.9% in October, as gasoline prices rose after OPEC+ countries announced production cuts, while higher interest rates pushed up mortgage costs by 11.4%, the largest jump since February 1991. "There is a 40% chance of a 50 basis points of tightening if inflation doesn't show more evidence of easing as we've seen in the United States," he added. The BoC has hiked its benchmark rate by 350 basis points since March to 3.75%, one of its fastest tightening cycles ever.

☆ Inflation is cooling, and Wall Street loves it
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-15 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Investors are hoping that the cooling inflation pressures will lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by smaller amounts in the next few months, following four consecutive historically large hikes. But it’s the good news on the inflation front that is giving investors the biggest cause for jubilation. Those comments soothed investors, who were spooked by remarks from another Fed official about inflation and interest rates. The Fed is clearly still more concerned about inflation than it is the possibility its aggressive rate hikes will slow the economy. That means the market should get used to the notion that interest rates are going to keep climbing and may stay elevated for some time.

Chinese equities make up 31% of the MSCI Emerging Market index (.MIEF00000PUS), a popular stock index that many funds track and benchmark their performances against. Fund research firm Morningstar tracks nine new emerging market ex-China equity mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that were created this year, matching the number of launches in total over the previous two years. If Aubrey was to remove China from its emerging market strategy, the Indian market would take a significant portion, while the rest will be spread around other countries including Vietnam, Brazil and Mexico, he said. OUTFLOWSAndrew McCaffery, Fidelity International's global chief investment officer, said they have received increased requests from clients for emerging markets excluding China strategies, although the purpose was to “break China out as an allocation separately within global portfolios”. “The challenge is that they (global investors) are not going to be quick to add back in,” he said.

read moreThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury hit 4.338% earlier, the highest since November 2007. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield , which typically reflects interest rate expectations, surged to 4.639%, the highest since August 2007. We'll continue to see more calls for a slowdown (in Fed policy) as we feel more and more pain in risk markets," he added. The gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes , was at -27.5 basis points, that's the steepest since mid-September. The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at 2.525%, reflecting the average inflation the market has priced in for the next decade.

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